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Lender appetite moves faster than headline cap rates, and it moves unevenly across asset classes. The useful question for a borrower is not where the market is going but which asset types lenders are competing for this quarter and which ones they are rationing.

Where appetite is deepest

Industrial, service-weighted retail, self-storage and housing of most kinds continue to draw multiple competing quotes in the major Texas metros.

Where it is thinner

Larger multi-tenant office, special-purpose buildings and anything with a short remaining lease term take longer, need more equity, and get read far more carefully.

What it means in practice

Appetite shows up as structure before it shows up as price: proceeds, amortisation, reserves and recourse all move before anyone changes a quoted rate. Call for where a specific deal sits today.

Our minimum loan is $200,000. We are a direct commercial lender working across the 43 states we serve, in business since 1998. We do not publish a rate for this product because the number depends on the file — call and we will quote the deal in front of us.

Commercial rates · All loan types · Investment property financing · Commercial lending · All property types

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Service Areas: Houston | Dallas | Austin | San Antonio | Fort Worth | Near Me TX Construction Rates
Common Questions: Credit Score Required | How Long to Close | Hard Money vs DSCR | Bad Credit OK | DSCR Requirements | No Income Verification | Minimum Down Payment | Documents Required
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Market Outlook 2026

Texas Commercial Real Estate in 2026:
What Borrowers Need to Know

Rates have stabilized. Texas population growth is still outpacing every other state. Here's what the market looks like right now — and where experienced investors are moving.

#1
Net Migration
Texas leads all U.S. states 2024–2026
6.8%
SOFR-Based Comm. Rate
Typical bridge/CRE rate range in TX
+$41K
Avg Income, DFW
Per-capita income growth 2022–2026
6.2%
Multifamily Cap Rate
Houston/SA stabilized assets, mid-2026
$0
State Income Tax
Texas investor advantage vs CA/NY/IL

Multifamily

Buying Window

2022–2024 overbuilding has softened rents in Austin and San Antonio, but absorption is now catching up. Houston and DFW remain undersupplied. Class B value-add is the strongest play in 2026 — buy at today's soft rents, reposition, hold for the rebound.

Houston Cap Rate5.8–6.5%
DFW Cap Rate5.5–6.2%
Austin Cap Rate4.9–5.6%
Loan LTV AvailableUp to 75%

Industrial / Warehouse

Strong Demand

E-commerce and near-shoring continue to drive industrial demand. DFW is the #2 industrial market in the country. Last-mile distribution, manufacturing support, and cold storage all have sub-4% vacancy. Cap rates remain compressed but fundamentals support pricing.

DFW Cap Rate5.0–5.8%
Houston Cap Rate5.3–6.1%
Vacancy Rate3.2–4.8%
Loan LTV AvailableUp to 70%

Retail

Selective

Strip centers anchored by essential services (grocery, medical, nail/salon) outperform. Class A suburban retail in high-growth submarkets is strong. Avoid single-tenant big box and Class B/C enclosed malls. Texas has no income tax which supports discretionary spending.

Grocery-Anchored5.5–6.5%
Strip Center6.0–7.5%
Single-Tenant NNN5.0–6.2%
Loan LTV AvailableUp to 65%

Office

Proceed Carefully

National hybrid work trends continue to suppress office demand, but Texas outperforms: DFW and Houston office absorption is better than coastal markets. Medical office and Class A suburban remain fundable. Downtown Class B/C office faces serious headwinds — discounts create opportunity if you can reposition.

Suburban Class A6.5–7.5%
Medical Office5.8–6.8%
Downtown B/C8.0–11%+
Loan LTV AvailableUp to 60–65%

What Commercial Rates Look Like Right Now

Rates have come down from 2023 peaks. Deals that penciled out at 5% two years ago need to be re-underwritten at today's rates — but a lot of distressed sellers are motivated.

Permanent / DSCR (30yr)
Quoted on your deal
30-yr amortization, investment property
Bridge / Value-Add
Quoted on your deal
12–36 month term, IO, repositioning deals
Hard Money (Fix & Flip)
Quoted on your deal
6–18 month, distressed acquisitions
SBA 7(a) — Owner-Occ
Quoted on your deal
Variable, small business owner-occupied
SBA 504 — Fixed
Quoted on your deal
25yr fixed portion, 10% down
Construction
Quoted on your deal
Draw schedule, interest-only, 12–24 months

Rates as of mid-2026. Actual rate depends on LTV, DSCR ratio, property type, and borrower credit profile.

Where Experienced Investors Are Looking in 2026

  • Houston Northside industrial corridors — sub-5% vacancy, new tenants relocating from California and Illinois manufacturing
  • DFW suburban multifamily (Denton, Rockwall, Mansfield) — strong absorption, population spillover from Irving/Plano
  • San Antonio medical corridor — South Texas Medical Center expansion driving demand for medical office and healthcare-adjacent retail
  • Class B Austin multifamily acquisitions at 2019 prices — overbuilding softened prices; long-term Austin fundamentals unchanged
  • Distressed office conversions — downtown B/C office at cents on the dollar, converting to medical/flex/mixed-use where zoning permits
  • Texas panhandle storage facilities — Amarillo and Lubbock self-storage still under-supplied relative to population, cap rates 7–9%

Ready to Move on a 2026 Texas Opportunity?

We know these markets and can get you a term sheet in 24 hours. No 60-day committee wait. Just a direct answer from someone who's been lending in Texas since 1998.

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